Spain vs Argentina — the “final everyone predicted” at MetLife
After a month and 63 matches, World Cup 2026 comes down to 90 minutes — maybe more — at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey on Sunday 19 July, 3 p.m. ET / noon PT, live on CTV, TSN and RDS for Canadian viewers. Spain, the reigning European champions and the tournament’s most ruthless side, meet Lionel Messi’s Argentina in what is almost certainly his last match on the biggest stage. Spain are favourites (title price 1.63–1.72); Argentina chase (2.25–2.40). Here is the read for Canadian bettors. As at 19 July 2026.

The read: best defence vs the eternal Messi
Spain haven’t just won; they’ve shut games down — Group H with a perfect record, Belgium 2–1, France 2–0 in the semi. It’s the tournament’s best defence, with Lamine Yamal the difference off the flank, and Yamal and Porro are both fit to start. Argentina run through Messi: 8 goals, 4 assists, still a strong Golden Ball favourite (~1.11) even after losing the all-time goals record on Saturday. Both coaches say these teams are stylistically near-identical, and the head-to-head is level (6-6-2) — this is their first-ever World Cup knockout meeting.
Odds and three records
| Market | Spain | Draw | Argentina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Title (to win) | 1.63–1.72 | — | 2.25–2.40 |
| Final 1X2 (90 min) | 2.25–2.30 | 2.95–3.00 | 3.60 |
Three records are on the line: Argentina can go back-to-back (first since 1962), Spain can complete a Euro/World Cup double and reach 38 matches unbeaten, and Messi has one last shot at the all-time goals record. With two sides this alike, the logical angles from the facts are Under 2.5 goals and the draw in normal time as value — finals break late or go to extra time.
Canadian viewing & betting
Kick-off is a friendly 3 p.m. ET / noon PT Sunday on CTV, TSN and RDS. Single-game betting is legal and provincially regulated in Canada; check CAD prices with a regulated operator and set a limit first.
Read next
- Saturday — England beat France 6-4 in a third-place thriller
- Mbappé takes the goals record and Golden Boot lead
- Messi’s last World Cup final and the Golden Ball
Odds for information only and correct at time of writing — please bet responsibly. In Ontario, betting is regulated by AGCO / iGaming Ontario; ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600. 19+ (18+ in Alberta and Manitoba). Sources: Kalshi, FanDuel via FOX; FIFA, Wikipedia (19 July 2026).